Corporate
earnings show a mild recovery, but valuations remain
a major concern
India Inc.’s earnings performance for the
second quarter of the financial year has turned out to be largely in line with
street expectations. Both revenue
and profits, when compared to the results reported for the first quarter ending June, have shown signs of improvement that suggest a slow but steady pick-up in demand
in the wider economy. This is comforting news for many who feared that the twin shocks of demonetization
and the hasty implementation of the GST would have
significant medium to long-term effects on
the economy. The quick rebound in the earnings of corporate India, however,
should not come as too much of a surprise. Both demonetization and the
introduction of the GST, while definitely disruptive, are transitory in terms of their economic impact. It is also worth
noting that most analysts had revised their earnings estimates downwards in the
wake of the rapid policy changes. Such moderation in expectations too has
probably played a part in making the earnings performance look better. However,
the financials of many companies are yet to fully recover to match their
performance prior to demonetization. This is striking in sectors such as
microfinance and housing finance, where companies have struggled to revive
their loan book and disbursements growth rates, also in companies dependent on consumer
demand. Many have clocked profit growth through cost-cutting rather than
superior revenues.
Going forward, however, a return to largely normal earnings
growth is more likely than not as the wider economy returns to normal under a
more stable policy climate. None of this is to deny the expensive valuations at
which Indian stocks are currently priced by jubilant investors. The market, which has been hitting new highs every
passing week, has not cared much about the lack of sufficient earnings growth.
It has been generous in offering sky-high prices to initial public offerings,
and now trades at a historically expensive price to earnings ratio, calculated
based on trailing earnings, of well over 24. The tightening of liquidity by
major central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve has not dampened its spirits either.
Domestic mutual funds have been more than able to fill the gap left by foreign
investors, thanks to a surge in retail investors putting in money through
monthly plans. The Centre’s recent initiatives to ramp up spending in the
economy by reviving credit growth and public infrastructure spending could yield some positive
results, but will take time to materialize. Visibility on the time horizon for a full-blown and sustainable uptick in corporate earnings remains as hazy as the smog that is engulfing
the capital where policy-makers are fire-fighting on GST. A swift and tactful unraveling of the GST tangles could, in fact, be the quickest fillip for reviving
consumption and investment.
1. VALUATIONS < Va /lu /ae /
sn/s>
Noun
Meaningà the act of placing a value on the nature,
character, or quality of something
Exampleà"
"it is wise to obtain an independent valuation"
2. IMPLEMENTATION <Im /pli /men /tae /sh /n >
Noun
Meaningà the
process of putting a decision or plan into effect; execution.
Synàexecution,
application ,carrying out, performance, carrying through
Exampleà
"she was responsible for the implementation of the plan"
3. DISBURSEMENTS < Dis /b/s/ment>
Noun
Meaningà the act of paying out money
especially from a fund
Exampleà “substantial disbursements for
research and development
4. JUBILANT < Ju /bli /ent>
adjective
Meaningà feeling or expressing great happiness and triumph.
Exampleà" a large number of jubilant fans ran on to the
pitch"
5. DAMPENED <Dam
/pen/d >
Verb-past tense
SynàLessen, decrease, diminish ,reduce ,lower
Meaning à make less strong or intense
Meaning à make less strong or intense
Exampleà "nothing could dampen her enthusiasm".
6. INFRASTRUCTURE < In/fra /st
/k/chr>
Noun
Meaning à the basic physical and organizational structures and
facilities (e.g. buildings, roads, power supplies) needed for the operation of a
society or enterprise. Synàarchitecture, armature, cadre, configuration, edifice
Exampleà "refusal to recognize the
legitimacy of both governments"
7. HORIZON <ho/rai/zn >
Noun
Meaningà the limit of a person's knowledge, experience, or
interest.
Exampleà "she wanted to leave home and broaden her horizons”
Synà range of experience ,outlook ,perspective,
scope, perception
Antonymsàno boundary ,limitless
8. SUSTAINABLE <Sus /taen /ae/bl >
Adjective
Meaning à being a method of
using a resource so that the resource is not depleted
Exampleàsustainable techniques
Antonymsà
out of control
9. UPTICK<Up
/tick >
Noun
Meaningà a small increase or slight upward trend.
Synà
Exampleà"an uptick in foreign tourism"
Exampleà"an uptick in foreign tourism"
10. FILLIP <fee /lee /p >
Noun
Meaningà something which acts as a stimulus or boost to an
activity.
Exampleà "an uptick in foreign tourism"
Comments
Post a Comment